NCAA Tournament March Madness

#138 Fresno St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State’s position makes sense because its season pairs a few eye‑catching wins with a string of damaging defeats that leave little margin for error, so the most reliable path to the national field is through the conference’s automatic bid. The Bulldogs’ best moments include a convincing neutral-site victory over Pepperdine and a road win at San Jose State plus solid home results against SF Austin and Colorado State, but those are offset by a heavy loss at Arkansas, road setbacks at San Diego State and New Mexico, and home defeats to Utah State and Grand Canyon that erode the resume, while narrow losses to Nevada, UC San Diego and Cal State Bakersfield signal inconsistency. Road success beyond the San Jose State trip is limited so proving the ability to win away from home is key. The remaining schedule contains a handful of manageable home dates and chances to rebuild momentum but also tough league road tests at Nevada and Utah State that will ultimately decide whether Fresno State can avoid needing the conference tournament to punch its ticket.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate298L67-66
11/8Long Beach St236W82-62
11/12UC San Diego108L78-73
11/15Utah Valley106W75-74
11/18SF Austin99W80-78
11/21New Orleans202W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine273W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield303L76-71
12/6@Arkansas22L82-58
12/10@CS Northridge210L89-87
12/20@UNLV134L84-72
12/30Utah St30L72-63
1/3Nevada63L66-65
1/6@San Jose St255W70-55
1/10@San Diego St43L71-52
1/13Colorado St95W79-69
1/17Wyoming111W63-60
1/21@New Mexico42L83-74
1/24Grand Canyon75L68-57
1/31@Air Force34685%
2/3UNLV13459%
2/7@Nevada6317%
2/10@Utah St307%
2/14Air Force34694%
2/17@Wyoming11131%
2/21New Mexico4225%
2/24@Colorado St9526%
2/28Boise St5432%
3/3San Jose St25582%
3/7@Grand Canyon7520%